Thursday, November 3, 2011

Last Call

I wonder if Orange Julius actually kinda forgot who Grover Norquist was there after his sixth Appletini of the morning.

A simple yes or no would have sufficed, but when House Speaker John Boehner was asked whether anti-tax crusader Grover Norquist was a positive influence on his caucus, he feigned ignorance.

It’s not often I’m asked about some random person in America,” he said. 

You know, this random guy.



Totally random.

Running The Numbers Wrong

I'm not sure if Nate Silver is incorporating way too much beltway conventional wisdom into his analysis or if he's just decided to move into Firebagger Country, but his latest 35,000 feet analysis of President Obama's re-election is that he loses unless the economy improves and his chances are 50-50 overall.

The problem is with the input parameters on Nate's model:

Obama does indeed have a “Jewish problem.” Polls find that his standing among Jews has deteriorated: only about 54 percent of them approved of his performance in the most recent Gallup survey. But this is to be expected when a president has a 40-something approval rating. He also has a Hispanic problem and a problem among the white working class. He has a problem in Ohio and a problem in Florida and a problem in New Hampshire. He even has, to a mild extent, an African-American problem: Obama’s approval ratings among black voters are still high, but down to about 80 percent from 90 percent.

All of these, however, are symptoms of Obama’s larger problems, a set of three fundamental misgivings shared by much of the American electorate.

• First, many of us understand that Barack Obama inherited a terrible predicament. We have a degree of sympathy for the man. But we have concerns, which have been growing over time, about whether he’s up to the job.
• Second, most of us are gravely concerned about the economy. We’re not certain what should be done about it, but we’re frustrated.
• Third, enough of us are prepared to vote against Obama that he could easily lose. It doesn’t mean we will, but we might if the Republican represents a credible alternative and fits within the broad political mainstream.

I'm trying to figure out where somebody so dependent on actual facts, objective figures, and numerical analysis gets such a flawed model to start with.  I'll give Nate the second point there, most of us really are frustrated over the economy are there are serious differences about what should be done about it (although I've been yelling about what to do for a couple of years now.)  But his assumptions that "we" think President Obama isn't "up to the job" is just Village idiocy if anyone was capable of measuring President Obama's accomplishments in an objective manner...which if anyone is supposed to be able to up in Villageland, it's Nate Silver.

The third point is hokum as well.  Has Silver been paying actual attention to the debates, the laughable policy gimmicks, the absurdity of the sound bites coming from the GOP in the last few months, or the current head-shaking controversies?  Who is an actual credible alternative that would survive the primaries and still end up in the "broad political mainstream" in the general election next fall?  Surely Nate understands this.

Finally he goes on to basically say that unless the economy improves, the President will basically lose the election.  In both of his scenarios where the economy is stagnant, the President has long odds against Rick Perry and nearly impossible odds against Mitt Romney.  No mention, of course, that if he's right the Republicans have every reason to continue to obstruct and sabotage the economy, and so far it's been pretty effective in blocking every attempt by the Democrats to improve the economy.

And finally, FINALLY, Nate basically says that the polls this early that show President Obama winning against every specific Republican in the race are simply too far away from November 2012 to be of any use, but he does throw in this caveat:

Obama has gone from a modest favorite to win re-election to, probably, a slight underdog. Let’s not oversell this. A couple of months of solid jobs reports, or the selection of a poor Republican opponent, would suffice to make him the favorite again. 

I'm going to say the selection of any single Republican makes him the favorite again.

Your Political Cartoon Of The Moment

Daryl Cagle, Cagle Cartoons:

Daryl Cagle - MSNBC.com - Occupy Fox News COLOR - English - occupy Wall Street, Occupy, Fox news, clown, TV, media

Amusing Stupidity: Going Nuts

A retired woman with plenty of time and peanut butter has trained a few local squirrels to perform.  This link will take you to all of the adorable pictures, but I included my top three here.

Here at ZVTS we cover a lot of things.  Because of the trend of hate and misfortune, the news has been pretty heavy lately.  But what is the point of life if we can't giggle once in a while and forget that we're generally disgusted with our government and fellow man?  I hope this makes you smile.

Kitty-  I don't know if you're a fan of all fuzzies, but I thought of you and it was so hard not to give this a "Heeeere Kitty Kitty" title.

Squirrel karaoke (with California Raisin backup goodness).


Liberace looks down from heaven and says, "SQUEEEEE!  It's a squirrel!"


There are a million punchlines for this one, but I'll keep it classy.  "Fluffy knew the enchiladas weren't safe to eat, but check out the hot blond in the shower.  Priceless."

A Special Place In Hell: The Juvenile Sequel

I try to be pretty understanding when it comes to kids.  But then you read something like this, and the heart can't help but harden.  Kids or not, this is criminal beyond understanding.

Courtesy of the New York Post:

A wealthy Manhattan real-estate agent buying Halloween goodies for underprivileged kids at an East Harlem mall was nearly killed by two 12-year-old punks who dropped a shopping cart on her from four stories above — then laughed about it later, police sources said yesterday.

Marion Salmon Hedges was with her 13-year-old son, who watched in horror as his mom fell to the ground in the East Harlem mall on Sunday.

Kids do stupid things.  Nothing could excuse something like this, but if it had been an accident, it would be only one tragedy, not two.  The second tragedy is that we have juveniles laughing about nearly killing someone minutes after it happened.  A woman who was getting candy for underprivileged children on Halloween couldn't get a more sympathetic response.  This is a perfect example of when everything goes wrong and nothing whatsoever goes how it should.

The GOP War On Women Rumbles On

Republicans never met a vagina they thought they couldn't control.

Earlier this year, the Department of Health and Human Services announced new guidelines requiring insurance companies to cover contraceptive services free of charge.

But on Wednesday, a House subcommittee opened a hearing into the new guidelines, with Republicans arguing that that mandate does not offer a broad enough opt-out rule for religious groups and others who have a moral objection to providing such services.

The guidelines require insurance providers to cover women’s preventative services — which includes everything from birth control to breast exams — free of charge starting next August as part of the Affordable Care Act. Health and Human Services already exempted some religious groups from the new rules, but critics contend that the regulations still ensnare others who have a moral disagreement with birth control.

In opening remarks, Committee Chairman Rep. Joe Pitts (R-PA) said that the current opt-out clause is too narrow, and that the government was taking, “coercive actions to force people to abandon their religious principles.”

When the healthcare law was being debated last Congress, the proponents adamantly refuted claims that this would be a federal government takeover of our healthcare system,” Pitts said. “Now we have the federal Department of Health and Human Services forcing every single person in this country to pay for services that they may morally oppose.”

I morally oppose paying the salaries of Republicans in Congress on the religious grounds that Zandarism finds Republicans to be completely amoral.  As your boss and a taxpayer, I demand that you immediately remit your paychecks to the Treasury to make a dent in the deficit.  Thanks.

What?  It makes just as much sense as Pitts there, which is to say "none at all" and that the man shouldn't be put in charge of a cardboard box for more than 37 seconds unless you wish to see it covered in flames and badly spelled lies about Obama's country of birth and Pitts immediately asking you to give him another three boxes because Jesus said so, shut up, that's why.

On the other hand, the fact that women in the GOP are all for this nonsense probably explains why Herman Cain will get away with this whole harassment thing.  Tiny Vagina Governments for all the ladies!

A Glass Half Empty

For the first time in Ars Technica's history, Microsoft Internet Explorer has dropped below 50% in the combined browser market share.





Where has that market share gone? In the early days, it all went Firefox's way. These days, it's Chrome that's the main beneficiary of Internet Explorer's decline, and October was no exception. Chrome is up 1.42 points to 17.62 percent of the desktop browser share. Firefox is basically unchanged, up 0.03 points to 22.51 percent. Safari grew 0.41 points to 5.43. Opera has been consistently falling over the last few months, and it dropped again in October, down 0.11 points to 1.56 percent.

I'm still a Firefox man myself, but I know Bon is having a lot of good results with Chrome.  I never use IE unless I have to for compatibility reasons however and I know of a whole lot of folks who feel the same.

Chrome is getting steadily better, but given the anger over Google's recent changes to Google Reader and Gmail I can say I'm not ready to commit to Chrome myself.

Still, if there's a loser in all this, it's Microsoft.  They sat on IE 6 for years and they lost.  Now they are scrambling to catch up again and stave off the bleeding to Chrome, but I don't see it happening unless IE 10 is super amazing.  Let's put it this way: IE 10 just now adds auto-correct to the browser.

Sheesh.  I would have been out of business here ages ago without that.

StupidiNews!

Wednesday, November 2, 2011

Last Call

Want to know why nothing is happening on President Obama's jobs bills?  Because the Village assures that the GOP will never take any political damage over it.  McClatchy's David Lightman plays both sides:

Democrats want higher taxes on millionaires to pay for the infrastructure plan. Republicans don't. Republicans in the House of Representatives have led the way in passing a series of bills to provide private-sector initiatives aimed at creating jobs. Democrats vow to keep pushing the Obama package.

There was little evidence that the two sides are taking serious steps to reach consensus on efforts to bring down the nation's 9.1 percent unemployment rate.

And so the unanimous filibustering of any measure in the Senate by Republicans magically becomes"it's the Democrats' fault" because the House GOP is "leading the way" on job creating bills.  Republicans pass their bills, Dems can't because of the filibuster, ergo it's the Dems' problem for not reaching "consensus" with the GOP.

And as long as the narrative continues to be reported in this fashion, nothing will improve.  Republican intransigence will continue, unabated, forever.

Drunk With Power

Here's the thing, folks.  If you give fanatical Republicans too much power, they do completely crazy things with it because they are basically insane.  Case in point: one Gov. Jan Brewer of Arizona.

Gov. Jan Brewer and the GOP-controlled state Senate on Tuesday touched off legal and political battles as they took the unprecedented step of removing the chairwoman of the Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission.

On a 21-6 party line vote, the Senate gave the Republican governor the two-thirds majority vote she needed to oust Colleen Coyle Mathis, citing "gross misconduct" in her role at the helm of the independent panel. The commission is in the midst of drawing new political boundaries for next year's legislative and congressional races. As the Senate voted in early evening, commission attorneys left one court and rushed to the state Supreme Court to try to block the Senate's action. They were too late to get immediate relief, but said they will petition the court today to allow Mathis to remain as commission chairwoman.

"It's my view that she is most certainly still the chairman," said Paul Charlton, Mathis' attorney.

However, Senate officials and Brewer's office said Mathis' eight-month tenure as chairwoman ended once the Senate endorsed the governor's action.

The conflicting views will fuel a legal battle over the extent to which the five-member commission is independent.

Bottom line:  the independent redistricting board came up with a redistricting plan that didn't shuffle all the state's Democrats into one new district and give Arizona Republicans the other eight.  In the eyes of Jan Brewer, it's "gross misconduct" for making the plan even-handed and non-partisan, enough so that at this point the chair of the commission has been impeached and removed from office as far as the GOP is concerned for the crime of not giving the Republicans everything they wanted.

And yes, in Arizona, that's apparently an impeachable offense now, daring to include Democrats and Latino voters in the political process where Republicans are in charge.  After all, our founding fathers never really intended to let them vote anyway, right?

Still waiting to see how this is an example of small government, hands-off, common sense Republican values.

Cain's Bull In A China Shop

At what point do we just admit Herman Cain is just as staggeringly ignorant as the rest of the Clown Car Kids?

Herman Cain may have some surprises at his first national security briefings should he win the presidency.

In an interview with PBS, Cain appears to suggest that Americans should consider China dangerous in part because they’re pursuing “nuclear capability.” In fact, China tested its first nuclear device in 1964 and has had a stockpile of warheads for decades.

Gosh, you mean Mr. "Ubeki-beki-beki-beki stan-stan" here doesn't know a gorram thing about foreign policy?  Didn't we recently have a President that suffered from this particular affliction while running around and costing us trillions with his codpiece?  The post-Palin GOP candidates should be rejected on the most basic of merits, but they are celebrated instead as "deep thinkers" and "innovators" when they should be considered, you know, morons.

When In Rome...

I'm trying really hard to keep my cool over this one.  I'm trying so hard that I won't even make the obvious jokes because it would distract me from my original rage.

A small, private college in Georgia has a new requirement for its employees: that they be straight.

Shorter University, a Christian Baptist school located in Rome, Ga., is mandating that its 200 employees sign a "personal lifestyle pledge" declaring that they reject homosexuality, premarital sex and adultery, WSBTV reports.

Shorter President Don Dowless told WSBTV that their goal "is not to offend people," but to "declare who we are."
Please God, tell me that this will finally bring workplace rights to the forefront.  No employer should be able to dictate how employees live off the clock, especially if it is participating in a legal activity.  Not ony is this way the hell over the line, it can be used against people.  Did John annoy you that morning?  Maybe you let it slip that he made a pro-gay comment.  Apparently, that's enough to put your job at risk at Shorter University.  If you choose to have sex, that is your right as an adult.  You do not owe your boss an explanation at the water cooler for what you do in your private life.  That's why it's your private life.

Argh.  I'm going to have to go hug kittens.  I'm so pissed I can't do anything but cuss and grunt.  See you all tomorrow.

I pray that they sue their asses off, and win.  This is so far beyond homophobic that I can't even wrap my mind around it. 

Common Sense Approach To Stopping Violence Against Women

The Huffington Post ran a great article about what we need to do to stop violence against women.  It makes so much sense, I wonder why it wasn't ever written so eloquently before.  In a nutshell: just freaking do something about it already.


This article contains absolutely nothing new about violence against women. That's because we already know everything we need to know about it. Everyone knows it exists. Most people would say it's a pretty bad idea. And yet it doesn't go away. To say it's annoying would be a serious understatement.
In the many years I have worked on women's rights, violence against women has been a constant. Violence as an obstacle to health care. Violence as a barrier to education. Violence as an inevitable fact of life.
It goes on to list three simple things government can do to stop violence against women.  First, pay women equally.  It would allow women to not be forced into a relationship because it's better to get the crap beaten out of you daily than be homeless in the winter.  And I know plenty of women who have had to look at it just that way.  In a society that values money above everything else, the fact that women are not paid equally for identical responsibility says a lot.  Stop stereotyping women is number two.  And this is the one area where women have a hand in the problem.  We are taught to live up to certain expectations, and never question whether they are right or even make sense.  We also learn patterns of abuse as children.  Stereotyping is not always a conscious decision, but we must be on our guard to see things for how they really are.  Finally, actually give a damn.  If this was a priority and given the real respect and criminal weight that it deserves, the bottom line is it wouldn't happen nearly as often.  There is a certain social acceptability when it comes to violence and women, especially if there is a relationship.  But see reason number one, and we can easily determine it isn't always the woman's choice to stay and endure.  


It's a good place to start.  

Still The Worst Econ Pundit On Earth

Our old friend Jim Pethokoukis continues to try to take back the title for worst economics pundit out there.  Jim "Housing bottom in July 2008" Cramer has been quiet lately, Megan "Gastritis broke my calculator" McArdle has too, and in their absence Jimbo writes a piece so ridiculous at the AEI blog page that the New Republic disposes of him with one of Jon Cohn's interns, Matt O'Brien.

Pay no attention to soaring executive compensation, or Wall Street bonuses, or even to the latest CBO report on income distribution: skyrocketing income inequality the past few decades is just a “myth”—at least according to Jim Pethokoukis of the American Enterprise Institute. In a recent post on AEI’s Enterprise blog, Pethokoukis contends that the data liberals typically tout on inequality understates key factors like median income gains, discounts the effects of taxes and benefits, and ignores the differing inflation rates on goods that different income groups purchase. At first glance, Pethokoukis’s case sounds sober and reasonable enough. But according to the experts I interviewed, it suffers from the defect of having a tenuous relationship with reality.

Just how bad is the piece?  This bad:

Consider the research and writing of Robert Gordon, a professor of social sciences at Northwestern University. He’s has done pioneering work questioning the extent of the aforementioned gap between productivity and median wages—work that Pethokoukis misappropriates to claim that income gains have been shared “fairly equally.” Gordon found that the productivity gap may be about a tenth the size as what is commonly thought, but, as he told me, that doesn’t negate the story about runaway wealth at the top of the income distribution. “The evidence on the long-term increase of inequality within the bottom 99 percent is ambiguous and complex, but what stands out like a searchlight is the unprecedented and increasing inequality between the bottom 99 percent and the top 1 percent,” Gordon told me.

Ouch.

The larger problem of course is that Pethokoukis has any credibility at all.  Looks like I get to add this to the Hall of Shame list. Pethokoukis is just the econ pundit equivalent of Space Herpes, with his terrible ideas on Medicare, on corporate tax cuts, on Glass-Steagall, on the balanced budget amendment, and of course, his famous "N*gga Stole My Economy" theory when he's not busy fantasizing about a world with no stimulus.

Any wonder why he's now trying to "debunk" income inequality, and doing it for a right-wing think tank?  This guy is a joke.

But What Features Do They Come With?

Basically Ann Coulter is a horrendous walking morality singularity where anything approaching honor, dignity and humanity just vanishes at near relativistic speeds.
Appearing on Hannity’s show Monday night, Coulter agreed that the Cain story is a “high-tech lynching,” adding that “it’s coming from the exact same people who used to do the lynching with ropes, now they do it with a word processor.”
She continued that liberals are “too dense” to see the “many wonderful qualities” about Herman Cain, because “all they see is a conservative black man.”
That’s why our blacks are so much better than their blacks,” Coulter said. “To become a black Republican you don’t just roll into it. You’re not going with the flow. You have fought against probably your family members, probably your neighbors, you have thought everything out and that’s why we have very impressive blacks in our party.”
Is there some sort of store where people like Ann Coulter can purchase black people like me in bulk? Can you order particular features that she's raving about? Am I just missing that section of the phone book where that is? I mean it's hard for me to compete on this heretofore unknown market when the GOP models come with things like "complete expendability" and "a total lack of self-awareness", whereas I have this outdated and useless appendage known as a "soul" and all.   I guess they've got new firmware or something. I don't get it.  All this time I thought I was a human being and not some accoutrement with "impressive" features.

Man, now I gotta go by the manufacturer and find this firmware update.  Maybe I can get some upgrades too,  like the one where I tell Coulter to kiss my ass because she's actually nothing more than an empty, rotting shell operated by the animus of amalgamated hatred she subsists upon, kind of like sentient toxic waste in heels.  Guess I'm too dense that way.

Can I stop being nice to people like this?  Please?
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