Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Feeling Randy, Part 3

The latest PPP numbers from Kentucky shows Rand Paul has opened up a big 19 point lead in the primary over Trey Grayson, while on the Dem side Jack Conway has a 4 point lead over Dan Mongiardo.
Paul is up 44-25 on Grayson. 39% of likely primary voters have a favorable opinion of
him to 13% unfavorable while 22% view Grayson positively to 15% unfavorable.

Paul is winning the votes of conservatives by a 47-20 margin, while Grayson holds a 36-
34 lead with moderates. Paul is having a particularly good amount of success with folks
who think that the Republican Party in Washington has become too liberal- his lead with
them is 54-18. Paul’s support is universal across demographic lines, as he is up with
men, women, voters in every region of the state, and every group of the GOP electorate
broken down by age.

On the Democratic side Jack Conway holds a 37-33 lead over Dan Mongiardo, despite
the fact that he is considerably less well known. 27% of primary voters have a favorable
opinion of Conway to 15% unfavorable while the numbers break down 40% positive and
27% negative for Mongiardo. Conway is holding the slight lead due to the combined
support of people who like him and dislike Mongiardo.

“It’s going to be harder and harder for the political establishment to ignore Rand Paul if
he’s posting these kinds of numbers,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy
Polling. “He has a real shot at winning the Republican nomination.”
Oh goody.  Because Jim Bunning and Mitch McConnell aren't already turning the phrase "Kentucky Senator" into an instant laugh riot at parties, now the GOP may very well be putting Rand Paul and his race-baiting baggage up in November.

Oh please do, by all means.

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