Monday, March 10, 2014

About That Rand Paul CPAC Straw Poll...


Rand Paul handily won the presidential straw poll at the Conservative Political Action Conference Saturday, one gauge of the Republican base’s mood less than two years before the 2016 primary season kicks off.

The Kentucky senator received 31 percent, far ahead of second place Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas), who received 11 percent. Neurosurgeon Ben Carson finished third with 9 percent, ahead of New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, who received 8 percent.

The announcement came at the end of the group’s annual three-day confab. Organizers said that 2,459 attendees voted on computer kiosks.

Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker and former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum tied for fifth place, with 7 percent.

Certainly seems like there's an overwhelming favorite in the 2016 race for the GOP, right?

GOP pollster Tony Fabrizio, who has run the straw poll since 1986, said that nearly half of the straw poll voters were between the ages of 18 to 25.

“This is a sampling of people from all 50 states who are at the forefront of the conservative moment,” he said. “They’re the people who go knock on doors.”

Oh sure, that seems like a fully representative sample of the GOP and America as a whole.  So, if you think that the makeup of the GOP primaries and the 2016 general election will be 50% white dudebro frat boys who worship Bitcoin, hate the government, but are happy to live on their parents' health insurance because they're under 26, then sure, Rand Paul has a real chance to be your next President.

Of course the flip side of this is "these guys will definitely vote."  Will you?


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