Excellent news for nutjobs! According to the always accurate and never at all hysterical Daily Express, Saudi Arabia has given Israel permission bomb Iran:It's 2002 all over again, unless Obama changes the script. He might, as commenter Paul W. has said on a number of occasions.INTELLIGENCE chief Sir John Scarlett has been told that Saudi Arabia is ready to allow Israel to bomb Iran’s new nuclear site.
The head of MI6 discussed the issue in London with Mossad chief Meir Dagan and Saudi officials after British intelligence officers helped to uncover the plant, in the side of a mountain near the ancient city of Qom.
As you are no doubt aware, according to the US Constitution as interpreted by geniuses of the Mark Steyn class, this Saudi move compels President Obama to launch nuclear missiles at Tehran no later than 9PM EST next Wednesday.
I'm hoping Paul is right. Me? Hope in one hand, a bunker buster bomb in the other, see which one fills Tehran's skies first.
Thanks for the call out, I don't think we really know the administration's position until after the "5+1" talks. If China does the appropriate amount of saber rattling Ahmadi's domestic situation is not such that he could stand up to a unified front. On the other hand the Iranians have made a strong show by firing off their medium range missiles, capable of hitting Israel.
ReplyDeleteBut... there are just so many negative outcomes to an attack on Iran that I can't see an administration with 3 years left and midterms in a year initiating what would only be an absolute disaster in the near and long term. Iran could effectively shut down exert considerable pressure on world oil prices if the hard liners are in a tough position and independent operators like Hezbullah and elements of Hamas able to enact considerable revenge even if we magically annihilate the Iranian leadership and retaliatory abilities.
If the talks fail then we are thrown for a loop, and I (as an armchair general) certainly couldn't even begin to game out what would happen.
Realistically Iran is not like NK which already has a bomb and an even crazier leader, yet it does have considerable conventional forces and much stronger alliances abroad than the hermit nation and are not as isolated as Saddam was. I'm just rooting for the guy I voted into office, if McCain were in charge we would have already invaded Iran, put troops in Georgia and Ukraine and had to sever ties with Russia and Latin America over the Honduras mess. Are trajectory is positive, but by no means out of danger yet.
Man, ignore my many typos... "Iran could effectively shut down [a large portion of the petroleum market]" and "[Our] trajectory"
ReplyDeleteYou have a very logical set of arguments there, my friend.
ReplyDeleteI'm just hoping the people in charge are listening. SecDef Gates at least said on Sunday that military action against Iran at this point would merely "buy us time".