Thursday, July 16, 2020

Biden, His Time, Con't

Remember, the polls are just a snapshot, we cannot afford the luxury of thinking Biden is going to win.  We have to go make it happen in November.

Having said that, the latest Quinnipiac poll has Biden up by fifteen points.

As coronavirus cases surge and states rollback re-openings, former Vice President Joe Biden opens up his biggest lead this year over President Donald Trump in the race for the White House. Registered voters back Biden over Trump 52 - 37 percent, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll released today. This compares to a June 18th national poll when Biden led Trump 49 - 41 percent. Since March, Biden's lead had ranged from 8 to 11 percentage points.

Independents are a key factor behind Biden's widening lead as they now back him 51 - 34 percent, while in June, independents were split with 43 percent for Biden and 40 percent for Trump. There is also some movement among Republicans as they back Trump 84 - 9 percent, compared to 92 - 7 percent in June. Democrats go to Biden 91 - 5 percent, little changed from 93 - 4 percent in June.

"Yes, there's still 16 weeks until Election Day, but this is a very unpleasant real time look at what the future could be for President Trump. There is no upside, no silver lining, no encouraging trend hidden somewhere in this survey for the president," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.

BIDEN VS. TRUMP: THE ISSUES

Voters now give Biden a slight lead over Trump in a direct match up when it comes to handling the economy. Voters say 50 - 45 percent that Biden would do a better job handling the economy, a reversal from June when Trump held a slight lead 51 - 46 percent.

Asked about other key issues:

* On handling a crisis, Biden leads 57 - 38 percent;

* On handling health care, Biden leads 58 - 35 percent;

* On the coronavirus response, Biden leads 59 - 35 percent;

* On addressing racial inequality, Biden leads 62 - 30 percent.

 Two big observations, one, Trump is now losing on the economy to Biden and Trump's overall approval on handling of the economy has dropped to 44% with 53% disapproving, and two, Biden's margin with college-educated white voters is so large now (64%-31%, a 33 point edge) that he is ahead overall with white voters by a 49%-43% margin.  If that holds up through the election, Trump is absolutely through, and there is no saving him.

The one thing that worries me is this:




Biden's folks need to work on their outreach to Black and Hispanic voters, period.  Obama set the gold standard for that. I know Trump can't win if Biden beats him with white voters, but Biden can't afford to take Black and Hispanic voters for granted.  Asian either.

We brought you to this dance, Joe.  Remember that. 

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