President Joe Biden Manchin doesn't want to seem like villain in the Good Package's public execution, so he's willing to come up a bit on his bottom line number, but he's still going to singlehandedly cut close to two trillion off the Biden Build Back Better plan.
Centrist Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) on Tuesday signaled he is open to a budget reconciliation bill in the ballpark of $1.9 trillion to $2.2 trillion, above the limit he set just last week of $1.5 trillion.
Manchin and his fellow moderate Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) are still far apart from liberals such as Sens. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) who thought the upper chamber had a deal to spend $3.5 trillion on President Biden’s human infrastructure package, but the two sides are inching closer.“
I’m not ruling anything out, but the bottom line is I want to make sure that we’re strategic and we do the right job and we don’t basically add more to the concerns we have right now,” Manchin told reporters Tuesday.
It was a small departure from his position last week when he announced: “My top-line has been $1.5 [trillion].”
He also told reporters last week that he doesn’t want “to change our whole society to an entitlement mentality.”
Manchin’s comments last week sparked a backlash from progressives, though his Democratic Senate colleagues have been careful not to criticize him for fear of angering a key vote.
But while Manchin has signaled some flexibility on the top-line number, there are a number of significant disagreements still to resolve with fellow Democrats.
One major sticking point is his insistence that the reconciliation bill include the Hyde Amendment, which prohibits using federal funds for abortion expenses.
Warren has criticized the Hyde Amendment as disproportionately affecting low-income women since it prohibits Medicaid from funding abortion.
Another major difference is Manchin’s insistence that natural gas be eligible for grants under the $150 billion Clean Electricity Performance Program, a core component of the reconciliation bill’s attempt to combat climate change.
Environmentalists and congressional Democrats have slammed electricity production from natural gas without the use of carbon-capture technology as wholly unproductive to the goal of stopping global warming.
Manchin has also balked at a carbon tax, an idea being pushed hard by Sens. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-R.I.), Chris Coons (D-Del.) and other Democrats. The West Virginia senator is worried it could be used to eliminate jobs in the coal industry, which historically has been a major employer in his state.
It's these details where Manchin will score a complete victory, and it'll be up to the rest of the Dems to take what he allows to be offered, or get nothing, because it's very clear Manchin is willing to scrap the entire package. He can retire if he wants to rather than deal with any primary attempts, and it's not like any other Democrat could win his seat back in my lifetime.
He knows he's holding 100% of the cards, and it's Democrats who allowed him to have this power.
There's a lesson to be learned here.