Generic ballot numbers in the last couple weeks have definitely favored the Democratic party, with Republicans wilting under the twin spotlights of Trump's trade war and Trump's immigration policy. A new Quinnipiac University poll indicates that the divisions in America are stark, and women especially are abandoning the GOP in droves.
If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, 50 percent of American voters say they would vote for the Democratic candidate, as 41 percent say they would vote for the Republican candidate.
Independent voters back the Democratic candidate 49 - 35 percent.
There are wide gender and racial gaps:
Men go Republican 50 - 42 percent as women go Democratic 58 - 33 percent;
White voters are divided 46 - 46 percent. Backing Democratic candidates are black voters 80 - 13 percent and Hispanic voters 60 - 35 percent.
American voters disapprove 78 - 15 percent of the way Congress is handling its job.
Immigration is the most important issue in deciding how they will vote in November's election for the House of Representatives, 27 percent of voters say, with 23 percent citing the economy, 22 percent listing health care and 13 percent saying gun policy.
"Is it a signal of a blue wave? Four months until elections for the U.S. House of Representatives and 50 percent of American voters say they plan to vote for Democratic candidates," Malloy added.
Trump's trade policies are bad for the U.S. economy, voters say 50 - 39 percent and bad for their personal financial situation, voters say 46 - 35 percent.
Trump's trade policies will result in a trade war, voters say 52 - 38 percent and say 73 - 17 percent that a trade war would be bad for the U.S. economy.
Democrats with a whopping 25-point lead among women though still may not be enough. It's goog to see that white voters are at best tied between the parties, and that to me is a much better sign for the Dems overall, especially in states with smaller minority populations (like say, Kentucky.)
Still, if Dems are now running even with white voters, and up 25 points with women overall, the Republicans are going to get slaughtered.
We need to make sure that trend continues. A lot can happen in four months still.