Most Americans, moreover, say the U.S. Constitution should trump state laws on gay marriage, a question now before the U.S. Supreme Court. And – in another fundamental shift – just 24 percent now see homosexuality as a choice, down from 40 percent nearly 20 years ago. It’s a view that closely relates to opinions on the legality of same-sex marriage.
That's actually a pretty big jump since just last August, after the President made his views clear and the repeal of DADT happened. It certainly didn't hurt the President's re-election chances, now did it?
Intensity of sentiment about gay marriage also shows considerable change in this poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates. In 2004, strong opponents outnumbered strong supporters by a broad 34 percentage points. Today strong supporters are ascendant, outnumbering strong opponents by 11 points.
Full PDF of the poll here.
At this point, I'm confident to say that same-sex marriage will be fully legal in all 50 states within ten years. It may be five. It may even be less.
Oh, and support of same-sex marriage by minorities now is 61% as opposed to 57% of whites. Just throwing that out there.