Thursday Job Numbers

And they're not good folks. Weekly jobless claims hit a 26-year high with a staggering 573,000 unemployment claims last week.

It was the highest number of jobless claims since Nov. 27, 1982 when initial filings hit 612,000. Economists were expecting jobless claims increase to 525,000, according to a consensus compiled by Briefing.com.

The four-week moving average of jobless claims, which works to eliminate fluctuations in data was 540,500 last week, an increase of 14,250 from the previous week's revised average of 526,250.

One economist said the number of initial claims decreased in the previous report because the data from that report represented the week of Thanksgiving. Some of the surge in initial filings in this current report could be a bounce from that week.

However, "the underlying trend in the labor market is that it continues to weaken," said Jay Bryson, global economist with Wachovia Economics, and that is evident in the 4-week moving averages of initial claims.

The number of people continuing to collect unemployment rose to 4,429,000 in the week ended Nov. 29, the most recent week available, which was also a 26-year high. The measure was an increase of 338,000 from the preceding week's revised level of 4,091,000.

The last time continuing claims was at such an elevated level was Dec. 4, 1982, when continuing claims hit 4,509,000.

Folks in my generation and younger simply have not seen anything like this, period. We've been through a couple of hiccups like in 1991 and 2002, but nothing like a sustained, multi-year recession. How scared are Americans? For the first time ever, our household debt decreased.

According to the Federal Reserve's flow of funds report released Thursday, consumer debt fell an annualized $30 billion, or 0.8% in the third quarter to $13.91 trillion.

Americans holding less debt may sound like a positive, but it also means consumers are spending less, as debt has become more expensive and harder to come by.

As the credit crunch intensified in the third quarter - and exploded late in the period with the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers - Americans were increasingly unable to finance big purchases like homes, cars and big-ticket goods.

"Consumers are going through a major change in their spending and savings habits," said Lyle Gramley, a former Fed Governor. "Throughout the housing bubble, consumers had a savings rate of zero, relying on the rising price of their homes. Now they're saving money for the future instead of spending it."

That's a worrisome sign for the economy, as consumer spending makes up 70% of overall U.S. gross domestic product. And the fourth-quarter numbers are likely to grow, as the peak of the credit crisis came in mid-October.

As I've said time and again this is a consumer-driven recession. Consumers buy less, more and more people lose their jobs as demand dies, and in turn they buy less, Deflationary Spiral 101.

The pain is just beginning.