A new Marist poll has a mix of good news and bad news for Sarah Palin -- and unmitigated good news for Democrats. On the one hand, she remains a plausible candidate for the GOP nomination in 2012, but in a general election she would lose to President Obama in a landslide.She'd get crushed in a general election, but Republicans seem bound and determined to run her in 2012. I don't see those numbers getting much better for her in the general, either...Among Republicans and GOP-leaning independents, the 2012 field stands at Mitt Romney 21%, Sarah Palin 20%, Mike Huckabee 19%, Newt Gingrich 10%, Bobby Jindal 5%, and Tim Pawlenty 1%. But in a general election, it's Obama 56%, Palin 33%.
...of course, that could change in 3 years. But I doubt enough to have her make up 23 points...not in the era where 55-45 counts as a landslide.
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Romney 21, Palin 20, Huckabee 19 --a virtual tie.
How do you get from there to "republicans are determined to run Palin in 2012?"
At best she has one in three chances.
In reality, factoring in that she is completely unelectable, there are only two serious candidates in the 2012 race (should they both run) -- Romney and Huckabee -- and the race is wide open for either of them.
Sorry if I am disappointing anyone, but there is no way the republican electorate will nominate Palin -- and this poll simply states she has 20% support -- that's it.
i just want to hear her say "todd and his drinking buddies" again. that line just cracks me up.
They'll find a way to pass on Romney and Huckabee, just like in 2004.
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