Sunday, September 27, 2009

Why Can't You Just Get A Job, Kid?

Because there are none. Who do you think got cut first?

The unemployment rate for young Americans has exploded to 52.2 percent -- a post-World War II high, according to the Labor Dept. -- meaning millions of Americans are staring at the likelihood that their lifetime earning potential will be diminished and, combined with the predicted slow economic recovery, their transition into productive members of society could be put on hold for an extended period of time.

And worse, without a clear economic recovery plan aimed at creating entry-level jobs, the odds of many of these young adults -- aged 16 to 24, excluding students -- getting a job and moving out of their parents' houses are long. Young workers have been among the hardest hit during the current recession -- in which a total of 9.5 million jobs have been lost.

"It's an extremely dire situation in the short run," said Heidi Shierholz, an economist with the Washington-based Economic Policy Institute. "This group won't do as well as their parents unless the jobs situation changes."

Al Angrisani, the former assistant Labor Department secretary under President Reagan, doesn't see a turnaround in the jobs picture for entry-level workers and places the blame squarely on the Obama administration and the construction of its stimulus bill.

"There is no assistance provided for the development of job growth through small businesses, which create 70 percent of the jobs in the country," Angrisani said in an interview last week. "All those [unemployed young people] should be getting hired by small businesses."

There are six million small businesses in the country, those that employ less than 100 people, and a jobs stimulus bill should include tax credits to give incentives to those businesses to hire people, the former Labor official said.

"If each of the businesses hired just one person, we would go a long way in growing ourselves back to where we were before the recession," Angrisani noted.

There are many reasons to be mad at Obama, but the stimulus bill and small business tax credits aren't it. It's called "for the same money, I can hire the more mature 30-year old who needs the job rather than the 22-year old living with mom and dad who's barely able to show up to work on time, dude."

Companies don't have to take entry level workers to fill entry level positions anymore. That's not Obama's fault. There are six seekers for every open job position out there.

Job seekers now outnumber openings six to one, the worst ratio since the government began tracking open positions in 2000. According to the Labor Department’s latest numbers, from July, only 2.4 million full-time permanent jobs were open, with 14.5 million people officially unemployed.

And even though the pace of layoffs is slowing, many companies remain anxious about growth prospects in the months ahead, making them reluctant to add to their payrolls.

“There’s too much uncertainty out there,” said Thomas A. Kochan, a labor economist at M.I.T.’s Sloan School of Management. “There’s not going to be an upsurge in job openings for quite a while, not until employers feel confident the economy is really growing.”

The dearth of jobs reflects the caution of many American businesses when no one knows what will emerge to propel the economy. With unemployment at 9.7 percent nationwide, the shortage of paychecks is both a cause and an effect of weak hiring.
Our consumer economy is not consuming. Not as many workers are needed for the companies that do have jobs. It's a death spiral, frankly...and if it wasn't the stimulus, it would be worse.

But all the stimulus did was buy us time to fix the underlying problems, and refusal to fix those is Obama's fault and his problem. And when the stimulus is up next year, we're in a hell of a lot of trouble.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

i was laid off four ( 4 ) years ago - so, 4 years ago i stopped consuming anything but food and gasoline. i also stopped paying taxes ( other than sales tax ) and stopped paying into social security. i also stopped paying for the Occupation of Iraq and the continuing war in Afghanistan. i have not eaten a full meal since wednesday and before that for about 2 weeks. i am down to my last 12 dollars and am now approaching starvation. i am 49 years old, a us army veteran and bs / ms degreed and will be very glad to die and leave this shitty world behind.

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