His decision to drop out of the race comes on the heels of the FDL/SurveyUSA poll showed him 12 points behind his likely Republican challenger, Tim Griffin.So Snyder's gone. 11 House retirements for the Dems now to the GOP's 14. Not even the Firebaggers know who's going to run on the Democratic side now. But it's cool. They collected their Blue Dog head, and they are pretty confident that a strongly progressive candidate, should one arise, will have no problem winning in Arkansas in November.
The poll was a dramatic dropoff from the previous polling in November by PPP, which showed him effectively tied against his opponent. The Cook Political report rated the district a “tossup.”
As an incumbent well below 50%, his reelection chances seemed very bleak. With only $7,625 raised since the last FEC reporting, he did not have much of a war chest to work with in the next several months. The district has a strong (R+5) Republican leaning, and it may be a challenge for the Democrats to find a first rate replacement for this election cycle. With Snyder out of the race, it seems unlikely that the DCCC will spend nearly as much money as they would probably have used to use to defend a long-term incumbent like Snyder.
If Snyder is replaced by another Democrat in November, one who is progressive, then I will give the FireDogLake crew all the credit.
But if Tim Griffin wins and this seat is a loss for the Dems...oh well...guess them's the breaks in the name of purity purges...
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2 comments:
The plan:
1-Throw the Dem bums out!
2-????
3-Progressives hold a majority!
[side note, my word verification was "ackabra" also defined as the magical word that gets progressives elected in Arkansas]
yeah, another win for the good guys.
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