How exactly is it a level playing field when the Democrats have a statewide U.S. Senate primary happening at the same time? There was no comparative factor getting Republicans motivated to interrupt their busy lives to vote. That's not soreloserdom blogging, it's just attention to reality. The Democrats were more motivated in this race. This ain't the end of a trend. It's just another special election, in a Democratic district, and on a big Democratic primary day. And a Democrat won. Disappointing. But not paradigm-smashing shocking. And not devastating.And it doesn't matter that the Dems won handily because it doesn't fit your own spin, dear. We know.
The biggest gaffe however has to be Sean Trende's call yesterday that 2010 is Anti-Liberal or Anti-Democrat, not Anti-Incumbent.
The historical record provides no support for 2010 being a generalized anti-incumbent year; the elections to date this cycle in major statewide races certainly don’t support this scenario either. The real question is whether moderate or conservative Democrats who oppose the Beltway Democratic agenda will be given cover from angry voters, or whether the electorate will thoroughly clean house this fall. That’s where the difference between a bad Democratic year and a debacle of historic proportions can be found.Might want to do some revisions there, ace.
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2 comments:
Both sides will try to spin anything they can as a win to try to build momentum. You will do it for the Dems, Fox will do it for the Repubs.
Almost word for word about what I was expecting. One special election with low turnout is proof that voters prefer Democrats, Zandar?
What happened to:
"Correlation does not equal causation!"
The overwhelming evidence is that the Republicans will easily retake the House and come very close to retaking the Senate. Do you really think Jack Conway, Joe Sestak, or Bill Halter have any chance in November?
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