Wednesday, June 9, 2010

Primary Impetus, The Morning After

Blanche Lincoln indeed is the winner in Arkansas, and the White House has given Politico's Ben Smith a message for organized labor:  You wasted your money on Bill Halter, don't ever do that again.  Nate Silver notes:
The White House is being really daft, but it's also silly to think that Halter could have won the general in Arkansas. If you don't trust Rasmussen and Research 2000 polling because of their extreme house effects, the only other poll of that race was from Mason-Dixon, and it showed Halter losing to Boozman by 24 points.
Nevada's GOP Senate primary was won not by Sue "Chickens for Checkups" Lowder, but by the Tea Party candidate Sharon Angle, who will face a revitalized Harry Reid in November.

In California, as expected the GOP primaries had Meg Whitman and Carly Fiorina on top for Governor and Senator, respectively.

FiveThirtyEight's Tom Schaller leaves us with this big picture note from yesterday night:
If either Sharron Angle loses this November, letting a vulnerable and high-prized target for Republicans like Harry Reid slip through, or if Rand Paul gums up the race so much he loses what otherwise should have been a surefire Republican hold in Kentucky--and certainly if both lose--there is a going to be a major reassessment of the value of the tea party to the Republican Party a la what Marc Ambinder wrote about a week ago. 
Gosh, you mean all that talk of mine over the last six months about The Hoffman Effect of Tea Party candidates pushing so far to the right in primaries that they can't win in the general is actually starting to shape up to be a real theme of the 2010 elections?

Nobody could have predicted, etc.

3 comments:

In Ur Blog Eatin Waffles (Accept no fail imitations) said...

"who will face a revitalized Harry Reid in November"

Sorry but Harry shouldn't win and should actually resign. It's about time to stop just believing in someone just because they're affiliated with a particular party..

Zandar said...

It's a little late for him to resign now, Waffles. And I'd sure as hell rather see him in the Senate than Sharon Angle.

In Ur Blog Eatin Waffles (Accept no fail imitations) said...

See that's the problem with politics. It's no longer about believing in someone, it's about picking between the lesser of two evils. Do you want your leg cut off above or below the knee?

Clearly Reid is someone who you can get behind, and hasn't ever done anything questionable.

Also it's amazing how just like Robert "KKK" Byrd forgiveness is given so easily for someone who makes off color remarks.. Had a Republican said this, he would have been forced to resign or we would still be hearing about these comments now.

So your whole argument against her is over alcohol? Which has been debated about for a long time now. Hence the argument "How many deaths are attributed to a DUI vs being high?"

“I would say this is another example of Sharron Angle being a convenient conservative,” he said. “Adults should be trusted to drink responsibly, not have the government make that choice for them. … [Angle's remarks] completely contradict the personal responsibility of what our party stands for.”

Not really much context there. It is true, if she hasn't presented legislation to prohibit alcohol and is against the Government doing so, how is that an issue?

And shes right on morality and values. If that wasn't in politics I don't think we'd have many differences.

So you effectively presented nothing as your reason for not supporting this woman. Clearly you're not biased because Reid is a Democrat. Now I'm not one to ever back up a politician because they all do something stupid, but in the article you presented, if that's the best you have, she's going to win easily...

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