Give Us A Little Credit

...or not, if you're a bank or credit card company.  Credit agency FICO now says 1 in 4 Americans have a credit score under 600, meaning they're not getting a damn thing as creditors continue to ratchet down on who gets plastic.

FICO's latest analysis is based on consumer credit reports as of April. Its findings represent an increase of about 2.4 million people in the lowest credit score categories in the past two years. Before the Great Recession, scores on FICO's 300-to-850 scale weren't as volatile, said Andrew Jennings, chief research officer for FICO in Minneapolis. Historically, just 15 percent of the 170 million consumers with active credit accounts, or 25.5 million people, fell below 599, according to data posted on Myfico.com.

More are likely to join their ranks. It can take several months before payment missteps actually drive down a credit score. The Labor Department says about 26 million people are out of work or underemployed, and millions more face foreclosure, which alone can chop 150 points off an individual's score. Once the damage is done, it could be years before this group can restore their scores, even if they had strong credit histories in the past.

On the positive side, the number of consumers who have a top score of 800 or above has increased in recent years. At least in part, this reflects that more individuals have cut spending and paid down debt in response to the recession. Their ranks now stand at 17.9 percent, which is notably above the historical average of 13 percent, though down from 18.7 percent in April 2008 before the market meltdown.

There's also been a notable shift in the important range of people with moderate credit, those with scores between 650 and 699. The new data shows that this group comprised 11.9 percent of scores. This is down only marginally from 12 percent in 2008, but reflects a drop of roughly 5.3 million people from its historical average of 15 percent.

This group is significant because it may feel the effects of lenders' tighter credit standards the most, said FICO's Jennings. Consumers on the lowest end of the scale are less likely to try to borrow. However, people with mid-range scores that had been eligible for credit before the meltdown are looking to buy homes or cars but finding it hard to qualify for affordable loans.

The rich are paying off their debt, they can afford to...and they are reaping the benefit with better credit scores.  The rest of us however are hurting as more and more Americans are missing payments and falling into traps, taking hits on their credit scores, seeing their credit limits reduced and rates raised, having to pay more off per month when it's becoming more and more of a squeeze.

Our consumer-based economy can no longer consume, that leads to less demand, that leads to layoffs and furloughs, that means people tighten their belts, and the cycle continues as the deflationary spiral rolls on and on.