Today's lousy market news, the weekly ECRI Leading Indicators Index dropped to -8.3%. Keep in mind that every time this Index has hit the negative double digits or below, we have had a recession follow 100% of the time. At the worst parts of the most recent crisis, the index hit a low of -29.7 in December 2008. It then rocketed upwards to +28.4% last October as stimulus was fed in to stoke the fires. It has dropped like a rock in the last 3 months. The odds of a second recession, or more accurately the second leg of the depression, are close to 100% now.
Naturally, stocks closed up for the day and 5%+ for the week on virtually no volume. It's the eerie calm before the sky turns green and the F5 tornado drops out of the sky.
Assume the position, folks.
Friday, July 9, 2010
It's A Nuclear Melt-Up, Part 3
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