That Poll-Asked Look

Couple of new polls in Kentucky are bad, bad, bad news for the Dems.

First, if Rep. John Yarmuth is now in the fight of his life in KY-3, (Louisville) then things are looking really grim for the Dems as a whole here.

If the election was today in Kentucky's Third Congressional District, the WHAS11/Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll says it would be a photo finish.  Two term incumbent Democrat John Yarmuth is ahead by two points, but the relative unknown Republican Todd Lally appears to be riding an anti-incumbent, conservative wave.
Yarmuth (D)  47%
Lally (R)    45%
Undecided     5%

And that would probably explain the latest Senate poll here.

With just under two months until Kentucky's U.S. Senate election, a new WHAS11/Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll shows Republican Rand Paul nearly doubling his lead in the last month, now up 15 points over Democrat Jack Conway, 55% to 40%. Since last month, Paul is up 4 points; Conway is down 3.

Kentucky U.S. Senate Race
Likely voters
Rand Paul (R) 55%
Jack Conway (D) 40%
Undecided 5%
Margin of error +/- 4.2%

A 15-point lead when they were basically tied just two weeks ago? Something has really pissed off the voters here and I hate to say it, but it looks like the Republicans got exactly what they wanted out of the Ground Zero mosque nonsense.

If the turning of the tide is predicated on Islamophobia, then I'm not sure what to make of the situation, other than to give a huge sigh.