A new Braun Research as in Kentucky finds Rand Paul (R) with a four point lead over Jack Conway (D) in the U.S. Senate race among likely voters, 43.4% to 39.5%.
An impressive number of people still undecided, too...enough to swing this race. Rand Paul's $2,000 Medicare deductible statement is already hurting him badly.
Same polling outfit here had Paul up by 5 last month. This continues to be a close race, but Conway is gaining. Interesting breakdown:
Here’s how the race looks in each congressional district, according to the poll:
- 1st District: Paul 41% to Conway 36%
- 2nd District: Paul 47% to Conway 38%
- 3rd District: Conway 55% to Paul 33%
- 4th District: Paul 38% to Conway 25%
- 5th District: Conway 44% to Paul 38%
- 6th District: Paul 49% to Conway 37%
This is going to come down to wire. Note also that Obama has a massive problem here in the state (60% disapproval) and the state as a whole is coming in at R+10. That's how much of a problem Rand Paul has. He can dredge up all the Obama Derangement Syndrome he wants to, but in the end it's his own words he's having to do battle against.
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2 comments:
Yes, I was pretty surprised by the numbers in the Sixth, but not by my home Second District, where it's practically illegal to be a Democrat.
Not sure why Jack's doing so much better in the First than the Fourth - it was the First and Second that killed Mongiardo in 2004. He was up by 2 even after the Fourth's precincts were in.
You're dead-on about the Fifth; Paul has no chance to make that up.
Yeah, I figured as much. Here's hoping.
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