The new Quinnipiac poll shows Sarah Palin holding a narrow plurality among Republicans across the country for the party's presidential nomination in 2012. And at the same time, the poll makes clear that while President Obama is vulnerable in a closely-divided country, Palin would be the GOP's worst possible nominee for the general election race.
Among Republicans and GOP-leaners: Palin 19%, Romney 18%, Huckabee 17%, Gingrich 15%. Bringing up the rear are Tim Pawlenty at 6%, Haley Barbour 2%, Mitch Daniels 2%, and John Thune 2%. The Republican primary poll has a ±3.1% margin of error.
And for the national match-ups against Obama:
• Obama leads Palin by 48%-40%
• Romney edges Obama by 45%-44%.
• Obama edges Huckabee by 46%-44%.
• Obama leads the lesser-known Daniels by 45%-36%.
The survey of registered voters has a ±2% margin of error.
As I've said before, the only guy who has a real chance vs Obama is Romney, and there's no way he wins the primary. Let's not forget Quinnipiac was the most accurate of the major pollsters, either. That 4 way tie for first is not going to last long. The real battle begins as soon as Sarah Palin declares.
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