The 2012 presidential election is still a long way away, and Sarah Palin hasn't even decided if she will make a run for the White House, but a second straight poll brings troubling results for the former Alaska governor if she does launch a bid.
An ABC News/Washington Post poll indicates that nearly six in ten Americans say they wouldn't even consider voting for Palin if she runs. Eight percent of the people questioned in the survey, which was released Friday, say they would definitely back Palin in 2012 if she runs and 31 percent say they would consider supporting her.
The 59 percent who flatly rule out Palin is 16 points higher than the 43 percent in the survey who say they wouldn't consider voting to re-elect President Barack Obama in 2012. It's also 17 points higher than the 42 percent of the public who said they wouldn't vote for then Sen. Hillary Clinton in the last presidential election.
The poll also indicates that 27 percent of people voted for the John McCain-Palin ticket in the 2008 election, as well as nearly three in ten Republicans and four in ten conservatives, and four in ten evangelical white Protestants say they wouldn't consider Palin for president.
And that's pretty much the kiss of death right there for a Palin 2012 campaign. Thirty percent of Republicans and 40% of Conservatives/white evangelicals wouldn't even consider Palin in the White House?
Sorry folks, she's got no chance in 2012. None. This is a pretty solid measure of the people who would outright never vote for her.
I of course want her to run even more now and split and damage the Republicans in 2012. I think her own narcissism will demand it. The 25% or so of Republicans that are hard core Palin fans certainly will demand it. And the more the "lamestream media" tries to warn her off, the more chance of her running. She has to at this point, because if she doesn't, the most rabid Republicans will sit out in 2012 in protest.
Of course, there's a very good chance that those same Republicans will sit out in protest when she loses the nomination.
She's the gift that keeps on giving...to Barack Obama.
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1 comment:
I don't think she'll run. I think some conservative mandarin will walk up to her and quietly explain
that if she runs against the person they've groomed, she will regret it. But if she plays ball, she might get a high profile position in a GOP administration, or even just a renewed contact for her crappy show. Hell, they might even make her the head of the RNC - that would be an interesting move.
She might run out of pique, but if the Big Money Boys don't back her, she has as much chance as I do of winning the nom, and I ain't no Republican.
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