Monday, March 16, 2015

Nate Runs The March Madness Numbers

Bottom line:  Kentucky has been so completely dominant this season that they have a better chance of winning the championship (41%) than 61 other teams do even making the Final Four.

The FiveThirtyEight crew will update the odds as the tournament continues, but UK starting out with a two in five chance before they ever take the court is just amazing.  The odds are still that somebody other than UK will win it all, but that's the odds of the Wildcats winning five straight road games compared to 63 other teams.

Even my Blue Devils have a 6% shot as a number one seed.  That hurts, because this is a pretty decent squad this year.  Nobody else in Kentucky's region (Midwest) has a more than 1% chance of winning the tournament.  Hell, the odds of them making the Final Four are 72% before they touch the damn ball.

It's a Big Blue world, rest of us just live there.

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