Millennials aren't planning to show up at the polls in November, and that's a big, big problem. Gallup checks the intent of the body politic:
Democrats and independents who lean Democratic currently report giving the same level of thought to the election as they did in September 2012 (70%), whereas thought given is down slightly among Republicans and independents who lean Republican, from 81% to 75%. At the same time, intent to vote is down by a similar proportion among both party groups.
Still, by 76% to 65%, Republicans remain more likely than Democrats to say they will definitely vote -- a gap that is similar to 2012, but higher than in previous elections. Further, the 65% of Democrats saying they will definitely vote is well below their average for the prior four presidential elections (77%), whereas the 76% of Republicans saying they will definitely vote is only a bit lower than their prior average (81%).
That's not a good thing. Here's where it gets worse:
|18 to 34||60||67||74||58||47|
|35 to 54||77||81||81||79||72|
We have a new 47% problem this election. A quarter of under 35 voters who definitely planned to vote in September 2008 now don't give a damn anymore. In 2008, I was one of them, out in the cold at an Obama rally in Cincy, heading back to vote for him in Kentucky in November of that year.
Now? Those college kids at that rally eight years ago are more jaded than I'll ever be, it seems.