For once, Jonathan Lemire and Team WIN THE MORNING actually are correct about Republicans looking desperately to get the news cycle off of abortion, mass shootings, holding the country hostage with the debt ceiling, and Donald Trump's multiple legal defenses. They want the focus to turn to Hunter Biden, and it doesn't matter if he's actually indicted or not, they're going to call it the biggest corruption scandal in American presidential history anyway.
The White House is bracing for the political fallout from the charging decision in the Hunter Biden case.
And they’ve concluded that Republicans will attack them over it whether President Joe Biden’s son is criminally indicted or not.
In conversations, Democrats and senior West Wing aides are downplaying the potential impact, arguing Hunter Biden was a factor in the 2020 election and voters elected his father anyway. They point out the president’s top rival, Donald Trump, was just indicted himself.
But people close to Biden still worry about the personal toll it will take on a father who has already felt anguish about a son’s struggles amid a long history of family tragedy. And they wonder how long he can compartmentalize personal anger with the attacks on Hunter and the political calculation that he’s better off not responding to it. Biden has long agonized over the fate of his surviving son, expressing that worry in phone calls with longtime friends and to Hunter himself.
Attorneys for Hunter Biden met at Justice Department headquarters in Washington last week to discuss the tax- and gun-related case with prosecutors, according to a person familiar with the matter. Often a signal that an investigation is concluding, such meetings are used by defense lawyers to urge prosecutors to refrain from seeking an indictment or to consider reduced charges. The probe has centered on whether Biden failed to report all of his income and whether he lied on a form for buying a gun. His attorneys declined comment.
“Obviously, the Biden team would hope that this investigation does not result in an indictment for a multitude of reasons,” said Jennifer Palmieri, who served as President Barack Obama’s communications director. “But the Republicans have failed — both in the 2020 campaign and in their 2023 congressional hearings — to have questions about Hunter Biden impact public opinion and I don’t think they will succeed now, regardless of what DOJ decides.”
They understand that this is going to be used as leverage in the debt ceiling too. They know there's a very good chance that, whatever the decision to charge Hunter Biden or not ends up being, it will be used as a pretext to trash negotiations and to let the country default on its debt, triggering a near immediate recession.
Democrats are thankfully well aware of this, and are looking for a way out.
Time, of course, is running out too, we're maybe 4-6 weeks from the economy throwing a rod and ripping a huge chunk of the engine driving the country out and tossing it through a nearby building full of puppies.
Rest assured though that the Republican response will be entirely predictable and awful.
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