Tuesday, December 2, 2008

Georgia Runs A Runoff Election

Jim Martin takes on incumbent Saxby Chambliss today in the Peach State for Senator, but most of the attention has not been on the race itself, but what it means nationally for Sarah Palin's campaigning for the freshman Republican...
Palin's decision to blanket the state with appearances -- and the rock-star reception she is receiving -- speaks to two basic facts about the former vice presidential nominee: she is beloved by the base of the party and she has absolutely no intention of stepping off the national stage any time soon.

While Palin has been widely derided by many political commentators and many Democrats, it's hard to dispute that there is no more appealing face for the party faithful at the moment than her's.

Though few in the GOP base would admit it publicly, there is a significant weariness with President George W. Bush and, to a lesser extent, Sen. John McCain. Palin represents something totally different -- in the way she looks, the way she talks and in her résumé.

"She's a very, very fresh face for every Republican, and some independents, said Fred Davis, the lead media consultant for McCain's presidential race. "She is a breath of fresh air."

...and what effect this has on Obama's coalition and the Dems hitting 60 in the Senate.
Today's runoff election between Martin and Chambliss will offer the first test of whether Obama is able to bequeath more to local allies than merely the trappings of a presidential campaign. The results may offer a tentative answer to questions that will ghost American politics for at least the next four years: Is there a sustainable Obama coalition, and is the Obama machine durable? Has Obama created anything greater than himself?

"He has a political army that is truly impressive, but that kind of loyalty to a person rather than to an institution is not as transferable," said Donald Fowler, a former Democratic National Committee chairman. "Yet this is a new day and this is a new kind of organization: it is highly electronic and it might work."

For Democrats, the election has a far more urgent meaning: a victory here - along with one in Minnesota, where the votes in a disputed race are being recounted - would give them 60 members of the Senate, a supermajority that could block a Republican filibuster.

Remember, Saxby Chambliss (and by extension, Sarah Palin) is now running on being Republican Senator Number 41 to stop Obama and the Democrats from destroying the universe or something. Chambliss has the lead in the polls, but a lot of big names have been swinging on Martin's behalf in the last week like the Goracle and the Big Dog.

We'll see. If you're in from Georgia, go vote.

StupidiNews!

Monday, December 1, 2008

Tank-O-Matic

The whole "Obama Announces Something At Press Conference, Stock Market Goes Up" theory died a painful, painful death today as the Dow tanked 680 points, or 7.7% or so. NASDAQ and S&P 500 were down even harder, almost nine percent a piece.

Daily occurrences of almost ten percent swings in a major stock market for a six week period are generally signs of a mortally wounded financial system.

A Necessary "What If" Scenario

If both America's record on terrorist intelligence and its reaction to that intelligence was more reasoned and swift in the 21st century than degenerating into a reactionary political excuse to attack the enemy we wanted to see responsible, would India (the world's largest democracy) have taken US October warnings about Mumbai being attacked from the sea a tad more seriously instead of using Mumbai as a reactionary political excuse to attack the country they want to see responsible?

Just asking.

Fresh From The Duh-Partment Of Economics

We've apparently been in a recession since December '07.

I'm sure this is news to you.

Epic Irony Detector Fail

After eight years of Bush's unlimited "unitary executive in a time of war", Nameless One's extra-constitutional Fourthbranch antics making him accountable to no one, and Sarah Palin being unable to describe the duties of the Vice-President job she was running for as the GOP standard-bearers on the limits (or complete lack of them) of executive branch power, we have Palin herself making this comment today campaigning for Saxby Chambliss in Georgia:
"We need Saxby because we need checks and balances in Washington, and we will not have that if Saxby is not re-elected," said Palin. "With one party in control of the House and the Senate and the White House we need a conservative who will speak for themselves."
Is there any more reason why the GOP can never be allowed in power again? The GOP was never, ever interested in checks and balances when it was in power...in fact how can we forget the promises of a permanent Republican majority in Washington?

But now of course we need to restrain the Democrats before they do anything.

EPIC FAIL.

Predictions

Atrios on January:
My guess is that in early January the Republicans will make some pleasant sounding noises about how they're looking forward to working with the new president, blah blah blah, and then there will be some fake controversy or Cabinet nominee who just "crosses the line," and then in more sorrow than anger they'll proceed to burn everything down.
My guess is that Cabinet nominee will be Obama's pick for UN Ambassador, Susan Rice. She's by far the most leftward of Obama's picks so far, and if the Weekly Standard is already complaining about her today, come January she becomes payback for the Left's treatment of John Bolton.

I'm with Duncan on this one. Mark it down.

Zandar's Thought Of The Day

Corporate PR For Dummies:

When one has just solicited $20 billion from the American taxpayer after announcing staggering layoffs of 53,000 or so, one should not then turn around and pay $10 billion for a Spanish highway construction company.

Credit Card Catastrophe

If the credit card article I referenced in this morning's StupidiNews is accurate, we're in a colossal amount of trouble financially.
The U.S. credit-card industry may pull back well over $2 trillion of lines over the next 18 months due to risk aversion and regulatory changes, leading to sharp declines in consumer spending, prominent banking analyst Meredith Whitney said.

The credit card is the second key source of consumer liquidity, the first being jobs, the Oppenheimer & Co analyst noted.

"In other words, we expect available consumer liquidity in the form or credit-card lines to decline by 45 percent."

That would take out $2 trillion in consumer spending power, despite the fact that interest rates have once again hit the Greenspan line and will almost certainly be under that come next year.

In other words, the $700 billion stimulus package Obama and the Democrats are planning won't be nearly big enough when the credit card companies are taking almost three times that back out of consumer hands.

That package too will fail. So what's the problem with credit card companies? Why are they nuking consumer credit lines across the board? Here's a major reason:

Mortgages and credit cards are now dominated by five players who are all pulling back liquidity, making reductions in consumer liquidity seem unavoidable, she said.

"...We are now beginning to see evidence of broad-based declines in overall consumer liquidity."

"In a country that offers hundreds of cereal and soda pop choices, the banking industry has become one that offers very few choices," Whitney wrote in a note dated Nov. 30.

Those five lenders, if you're wondering? JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citibank, Capital One, and HSBC, some of the same financials that are scrambling to stay afloat. Citibank, part of Citigroup, is already in serious trouble. These companies are going to be cutting off credit card lines left and right in order to stay afloat, and the results on our consumer-driven economy will mean devastation when coupled with rising unemployment.

If consumers don't have the jobs and the credit to buy, then our economy shuts down and will stay down for a long, long time. The economic crisis could last well into 2011 or more at this rate, almost certainly turning a bad, bad recession into borderline depression. There continues to be no visible bottom to the economic crisis, no light at the end of the tunnel that isn't the headlights of oncoming train after oncoming train.

It's a sobering thought that 18 months from now, December 2008 will be considered part of the good times for America.

StupidiNews!

Sunday, November 30, 2008

And Now, Playing Center...

Via BooMan, all the news on Obama's expected unveiling of his National Security Team(tm) tomorrow, including SecState Clinton.
The national security team roll-out is coming tomorrow, and the reporting has not changed.

CHICAGO – President-elect Barack Obama will roll out his national security team at a news conference here on Monday morning, including his former primary rival, Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, as his secretary of state, Democrats close to the process said. Mrs. Clinton is flying to Chicago to appear beside the man who beat her for the Democratic nomination, a person close to Clinton said. Friends previously said she was prepared to join his cabinet in hopes of having more impact than she would in the Senate, but the person close to her said the decision is now official. In addition to Mrs. Clinton, Democrats said, Mr. Obama plans to announce that he is keeping Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates, who has run the Pentagon for the last two years under President Bush. And they said Mr. Obama will appoint Gen. James L. Jones, a retired Marine commandant and NATO supreme commander, as his national security adviser.

Rounding out his national security team, Mr. Obama will also name former Deputy Attorney General Eric H. Holder Jr. as his choice for attorney general and Governor Janet Napolitano of Arizona as secretary of homeland security, the Democrats said. Mr. Obama may also announce former Assistant Secretary of State Susan E. Rice as ambassador to the United Nations, a job that will be given cabinet rank in his cabinet, as it had under President Bill Clinton.

Bolstering the case that Clinton will be tapped for State, the New York Times and Washington Post are both reporting that Bill Clinton will release the names of over 200,000 donors to his library and foundation, paving the way for his wife's confirmation.

The former president has also agreed to allow the State Department and, potentially, the White House, to vet his personal business interests and speeches so as to avoid potential conflicts of interest, according to transition officials.

If the reporting is correct, one significant development is Susan Rice's appointment to be U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations and the restoration of that post to cabinet level. Rice and Holder would be the first African-Americans to hold their respective seats in a cabinet. Joining with the president-elect and Bill Richardson at the Commerce Department, they will present an image of diversity to the world.

The retention of Robert Gates is being well received at the Pentagon, and I have not seen one peep of criticism of Hillary Clinton from the right (there's a lesson in there, by the way). Obama appears to be avoiding the problems that beset Bill Clinton at the beginning of his administration. He is not going to allow himself to get crossways of the military, which is something JFK never recovered from after the Bay of Pigs.

The arguments given for Clinton and Gates et al. are that they work at the pleasure of the President, and if they don't enforce Obama's policies, they will be replaced with someone who will. Obama himself has made this argument last week when he said that the policy is coming from the top..."Me."

The argument against is where BooMan continues:

At this point, I am more interested in the who will be staffing the deputy and undersecretary positions at Defense and State. You may recall that most policy meetings are coordinated at the Deputies level. When the Bush administration kicked Richard Clarke out of the cabinet they also kicked him out of the principals meetings, and Clarke found it very difficult to get his Al-Qaeda warnings heard at the highest levels of government. But the Deputies Meetings are still where most of the choices are formulated for presentation to the principals, and it is therefore very important to have good, solid progressives in the deputy positions.
In other words, if Clinton and Gates staff these important positions with neo-con hawks, the advice Clinton and Gates are going to get are that of neo-con hawk positions, and that's what they will in turn feed to Obama. If everyone is telling you the same thing, you tend to trust and believe your cabinet...you have to.

Twenty plus years of neo-con ossification hardened the lines at State and Defense. The appointments of Clinton and the retention of Gates aren't real conducive to breaking up that hardened, hard-liner position that got us into Iraq.

Gates I expect to keep all his deputies. It's Clinton I'm far more worried about. If even the diplomats are saying "war war is better than jaw jaw" then we could be in for a mess. The lack of progressive voices in the name of political expediency could turn into a nightmare...on top of the nightmares we're already facing in this country.

Hole-Digging In Opposite Land

The far right Investor's Business Daily still refuses to give up their pipe dream on what caused the financial crisis: Bill Clinton, poor black people, and too much regulation.
The Community Reinvestment Act is to blame for the financial crisis, but it so powerfully serves Democrats' interests that they'll do anything to protect it — including revising history.

The CRA coerces banks into making loans based on political correctness, and little else, to people who can't afford them. Enforced like never before by the Clinton administration, the regulation destroyed credit standards across the mortgage industry, created the subprime market, and caused the housing bubble that has now burst and left us with the worst housing and banking crises since the Great Depression.

The CRA should be abolished, along with the government-sponsored enterprises that fueled the secondary market for subprimes — under pressure from Clinton, who ordered HUD to set quotas for "affirmative action" lending at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

But powerful Democrats in Washington want to protect the act — along with Fannie and Freddie — and spin the subprime scandal as the result of too little regulation, not too much.

"Repealing or weakening the CRA would be a mistake," warns Senate Banking Committee Chairman Chris Dodd, D-Conn., who argues that the CRA should be strengthened.

Dodd, the top recipient of Fannie donations and himself a beneficiary of a sweetheart mortgage brokered by a subprime lender, recently invited one of Clinton's top enforcers of the CRA to testify.

"The notion that CRA has caused this problem is a pernicious thought," said former Comptroller of the Currency Gene Ludwig. "These are not truthful statements. The CRA has helped to create a better and sounder world for finance, not the opposite."

Dead wrong. But the mainstream media believe it, and have attacked those, including this paper, who dare to tell the truth about the crisis. Already the debacle has erased $13 trillion in wealth, while putting taxpayers on the hook for up to $8 trillion in bailouts.

It's amusing then that a rule Clinton "viciously enforced" in 1994 caused housing prices to collapse in 2006...12 years later.

Dirt cheap credit after Alan Greenspan cut interest rates to one percent in 2004 and 2005, massive bank and investment house mergers after Gramm-Leach-Bliley was passed in 1999, a torrent of greed in the financial sector and a stock market forming an unsustainable bubble economy due to even fewer regulations in turning subprime loans into securities all of course had nothing to do with it. Banks became greedy and played the markets, riding a huge bubble elevator on the way up that had nowhere to go but down this year.

So much of the financial sector's assets are now tied up in "off-balance sheet investment vehicles" that the banks themselves are largely insolvent. They all played the game. They all lost. They are now all being bailed out.

But gosh, it sure is fun to blame Democrats, poor black folk, and the Community Reinvestment Act for the crisis, and to rewrite history and pretend banksters were all forced to make billions in bad loans to people they knew that were broke instead of admitting a huge pecentage of folks given loans under the CFA -- minorities -- were in fact in much better financial shape than the average subprime borrower.

The article finishes up with facts that supposedly damn Clinton and poor ass negroes as the cause of wiping out $20 trillion of American wealth, facts like "Nearly 4 in 10 subprime loans between 2004 and 2007 were made by CRA-covered banks such as Washington Mutual and IndyMac. And that doesn't include loans made by subprime lenders owned by banks, which were in effect covered by the CRA."

Of course that leaves out the fact that these large mortgage lenders were covered under CRA because they were large mortgage lenders in the first place and being large lenders they made lots of subprime loans in order to make money and then bundle the risk into securitized vehicles, putting them off the balance sheets.

It's pretty idiotic, and any serious person rejects the argument that the CRA forced the banks into making loans they couldn't pay...including the lenders themselves.

But IBD plunges on into the darkness, admitting that even though Countrywide, the largest single subprime lender in America, was not covered under the CRA, it still "came under great pressure to loan to minorities".

No, it came under the pressure of its own greed.

And let's not forget banks like Citigroup that didn't make subprime loans at all, but still collapsed under the weight of their own bad investments they made by choice and had to be rescued with our money.

But IBD and their wingnut buddies keep digging that hole and keep screaming into the abyss that those damn Democrats forced the good Christian Republican God-Fearing white banks of America to loan to the damn negroes who wrecked our country by being too poor to pay the banks trying to fleece them.

There's a lot of blame to go around, but this is like blaming purse-snatchers and bad cooks who start grease fires in New York City for being numerous enough to require all those cops and firefighters to be around when they got the call on September 11, 2001, and then saying the bad cooks and purse-snatchers are the ones who really killed these brave heroes.

Does anyone actually believe the CRA caused $20 trillion in damage to the economy, and not greed, deregulation, and easy credit bubbles?

Saturday, November 29, 2008

Salting The Earth

In the Third Punic War between the Romans and Carthage more than 2,000 years ago, the Romans sacked Carthage and poured salt onto the fields surrounding the city in a 50 mile radius, rendering the fields useless for crops for years.

The Romans didn't just defeat the Carthaginians, they completely ruined them on the way out the door. Carthage never recovered as a threat to the Romans or anyone else for that matter after that.

Which brings me to Bush and his executive order salting of the earth.
Bush administration aides are rushing to pass a safety rule which would make government regulation of workers' exposure to toxic chemicals more difficult; a rule President-elect Barack Obama opposes.

Public health officials worry the decreased protections will result in additional, unnecessary deaths.

It is just one of about 20 controversial Labor Department proposals being pushed by large business interests, according to a published report.

Other proposals would allow power plants to be built closer to parks and wildlife preserves, and further limit the role of environmental and animal experts in determining where major infrastructure projects may be carried out.
Obama will do what he can, but Bush is going out as nasty and as corrupt as he came into office.

Epic Bush Legacy Fail

Preznitman on his legacy:
George W. Bush hopes history will see him as a president who liberated millions of Iraqis and Afghans, who worked towards peace and who never sold his soul for political ends.

"I'd like to be a president (known) as somebody who liberated 50 million people and helped achieve peace," Bush said in excerpts of a recent interview released by the White House Friday.

"I would like to be a person remembered as a person who, first and foremost, did not sell his soul in order to accommodate the political process. I came to Washington with a set of values, and I'm leaving with the same set of values."
No George. You will not be remembered like this. There are hundreds of millions if not billions of people worldwide who disagree with you there and will make sure that is not the case. I'm one of them.

EPIC FAIL.

StupidiNews, Weekend Edition

Related Posts with Thumbnails