Washington insiders say he will quit within six to eight months in frustration at their unwillingness to "bang heads together" to get policy pushed through.
Mr Emanuel, 50, enjoys a good working relationship with Mr Obama but they are understood to have reached an understanding that differences over style mean he will serve only half the full four-year term.Odd thing to drop to the press six months before going. The White House's heavy hitter reduced to whining to the UK press? I can understand this story coming out around Thanksgiving, but on late Father's Day weekend? It's not like Rahm will get more respect from this. The Village certainly is going to be damn miffed this one went to the Telegraph and not the Grey Lady or the WaPo.
Friends say he is also worried about burnout and losing touch with his young family due to the pressure of one of most high profile jobs in US politics.
"I would bet he will go after the midterms," said a leading Democratic consultant in Washington. "Nobody thinks it's working but they can't get rid of him – that would look awful. He needs the right sort of job to go to but the consensus is he'll go."
No reason for Rahm to leak this. He doesn't benefit unless he's trying to pre-martyr himself as the guy who could have saved the Democrats from big losses in November, but that's not his style, and it makes him look like an ass.
The Firebaggers are happy this morning. The Wingers say its rats deserting a sinking ship of state. But given the Village efforts to rehabilitate Rahm in February and again in March, I asked who was going to win that battle, the other combatants were the team of Obama budget guru David Axelrod and OFA campaign head David Plouffe.
Given this weekend's article on Team Obama fully backing Plouffe's OFA as the winning strategy for 2010, it looks like Rahm has immediately countered to...exact revenge? That still makes no sense. We'll hear nothing but WHITE HOUSE IN TOTAL DISARRAY for the next, oh, 30 months.
Not sure what Rahm's long game here is, and the Guardian article doesn't use Rahm as a source, but has "Washington insiders" saying they believe he will now leave and can totally understand why.
As I've said before the target's been Obama, and I think it's true again here. Somebody's burning the White House and it's not Rahm.
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