Friday, July 17, 2015

Reality Trumps Fantasy Once Again

Why no, Donald Trump isn't going to "win the Hispanic vote" any more than he's going to be our next President.

Hispanic voters overwhelmingly disapprove of Donald Trump’s controversial comments on illegal immigration, according to a new Univision poll. 
Seventy nine percent of Hispanic voters polled find Trump’s comments offensive, and 71 percent hold an unfavorable view of Trump.

While a majority of those polled say they don’t think Trump’s comments represent his party, Trump and Florida Gov. Jeb Bush trail Hillary Clinton badly among Hispanic voters. 
Clinton would win 64 percent of Hispanic voters over Bush in a hypothetical matchup. That includes a five point lead in Bush’s home state of Florida, a 42-point lead in Nevada, a 14-point lead in North Carolina, and a 46-point lead in Colorado—all swing states. 
She’d fare even better in a matchup against Trump, where she wins the Hispanic vote by a 70 to 16 percentage point margin.

So the real news isn't that Trump will lost the Hispanic vote by 54 points to Hillary, it's that Jeb! Bush would lose to Hillary by nearly 40 points too. Trump is nowhere near alone at completely losing the Hispanic vote. She demolished Ted Cruz by 47 points, Marco Rubio by 41 points, Rand Paul by 47 points, and Scott Walker by 49 points.

President Obama beat Mitt by 42 points in 2012, and I expect the GOP will fare even worse this time around.

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