Wednesday, December 30, 2009

Possible Bug-Out In Tehran

Developing news out of Iran today, Radio Netherlands is reporting that Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Khamenei has an escape plan to Russia should things continue to go south for the regime.
The media organization reports that the Supreme National Security Council ordered a check-up Sunday of the jet on standby to evacuate Khamenei and his family should the need arise.

If Khamenei does depart the country, it would be reminiscent of an historic event in Iranian history: Jan. 16, 1979, when the Iranian Shah Mohammed Reza Pahlevi fled Iran following an increase in violent protests. The anniversary of that event is coming up soon.

The plane check is already being viewed by some as an indication that Khamenei will in fact leave Iran, as protests continue.
I'm rather skeptical about this one.  A bug-out plan that's public knowledge is worse than not having one at all.  Nobody does this, the odds of the Iranian resistance having somebody that high up the food chain to provide such a document is pretty much nil.

But it makes for great propaganda though, doesn't it?  Gives the people hope.  Maybe it will become a self-fulfilling prophecy, but I doubt it.  We'll see.

1 comment:

Paul W. said...

It also plays into the meme in Iran that Russia is backing the regime in the shadows, remember that the Russians were one of the first to declare Iran's government legit.

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