Monday, November 18, 2019

That Poll-Asked Look, Con't

Donald Trump is in real trouble in Georgia, at least if the latest Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll is to be believed.

A majority of Georgians disapprove of President Donald Trump’s performance in the White House and he appears to be facing a hard fight against each of the five top Democratic candidates seeking to replace him, according to an exclusive Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll.

In head-to-head matchups, former Vice President Joe Biden ran strongest against Trump, leading the president 51% to 43%, fueled by solid support from women and independents. Other matchups against South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg and U.S. Sens. Kamala Harris, Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren are much tighter.

The findings provide an early snapshot of the developing race in Georgia one year out from the election and strengthens claims that the state will be a 2020 battleground.

The poll highlighted the sharp degree of polarization around Trump, who is the focus of public impeachment hearings that begin Wednesday. About 54% of registered Georgia voters disapprove of his record while 44% approve.

It also shows the unsettled nature of U.S. Sen. David Perdue’s quest for a second term in 2020. Though about 50% of Georgians approve of his job performance, only about one-third say they’d support him in next year’s election. A bigger group — 41% — say their choice depends on who the Democratic nominee is.

The findings help illustrate the political challenges facing both parties as Democrats target Georgia as a 2020 battleground, aiming to flip both U.S. Senate seats up for grabs next year and carry the state in a presidential election for the first time since Bill Clinton’s 1992 victory.

The poll was conducted Oct. 30 to Nov. 8 by the University of Georgia’s School of Public and International Affairs and has a margin of error of 3 percentage points.

And it's important to note that GOP Sen. David Perdue isn't a lock for re-election either.  People forget that Ohio and Virginia were in play as battleground states 10 years ago, now they are most certainly not.  Other states have risen to take their place, Georgia is looking like one of the new ones.  I think most Dems would be happy to trade Ohio for Georgia, for example.

Well, unless you happen to live there.

As far as the non-Biden candidates go, Trump only gets 43% against any of the four, with Sanders and Warren get 47%, Mayor Pete 45%, and Kamala Harris 44%.

And Perdue?  Well, he only gets 35% of the vote, with 21% going to the Democrat, but a plurality of 40% say "It depends on who Perdue's Democratic opponent is" and that can't be good news for him.

Impeachment is still split, 46% want Trump removed from office, 47% think he should remain...but this is a state Trump won by 5 points even with Gary Johnson getting 3%.

Democrats should be spending a lot more time in Georgia in 2020.

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